20 YEARS AFTER A REVOLUTION IN WHICH THE 'REVOLUTIONARIES' SHOT THEMSELVES IN THE FEET

Karlskrona, Sweden -- On the 22nd of July 2014, our country - The Gambia - marks 20 years since our rights and freedom were stolen from us by the consequence of what political animals will call a 'revolution'. A revolution indeed, hence the current status quo!

Twenty years down the line, we are still grappling with the meaning and significances of this revolution, which was supposedly meant to end timocracy, crony capitalism and political corruption.
It's obvious that the ultimate purpose of a revolution is to empower the masses and create a new society. However, the euphoria with which the July 22nd revolution was welcomed, has turned to a battery of disillusions: the revolutionaries shot each other's feet, leading to incarceration of the lucky ones (Sana Sabally etc), summary execution of the hapless ones ((Abdoulie Dot Faal etc), exile of the wise ones (Alhagie Cham Joof - Sir Jackal etc), and ultimately plunging the country into more or less a powerful fiefdom within the political spectrum, akin to Machiavellianism.

Consequently, this is the recipe for a failed revolution; and these events went on to serve as preludes to our suffering as a nation and further helped construct an insane system in which every Gambian becomes a potential political victim (because Jammeh's whip spares no one, even those who grease the wheels and keep the spares apart - Njogu Bah, Momodou Sabally, Benedict Jammeh etc).

Understanding that one of the most important motives of a revolution is that the revolutionaries have become wary of the existing status quo, the July 22nd revolution could have been an anatomy of a successful one, given the nature of political nomadism during Jawara's thirty-year rule: a section of the working class was marginalized and obviously influenced both by the bureaucracy left over from the Jawara's era and their de-politicization.

In other words, president Jammeh had had the opportunity to not only make a combination of prowess and firm leadership through democratizing the country, but also a revolutionary inspiration to the world and a hero to the proletariats. But, as the saying goes: 'power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely.' So is the outcome in the case of our country.

Few years after he came to power, Jammeh succeeded in eliminating his enemies (so-called counter-revolutionaries), silencing his subjects and instituting a kind of a pseudo-socialist system (because he has bakeries, he sells sand, he sells rice, he sells meat, the list goes on) that cripples the private sector so much that the government becomes the main source of employment.
What happens next? This system turns citizens into political clients and intellectual prostitutes. And in the process of becoming clients of the state, we have been robbed of our customer rights. This is how the door becomes opened for Jammeh to view democracy but as a charade, to rob us of our wallets, and freedom.

I hold that it's a baloney to talk about July 22nd revolution in abstract, without asking 'July 22nd revolution for whose benefit'. It's a common knowledge that every country whose people have been politically and socially subjugated, needs a revolution. Not just a mere pseudo-revolution in the case of our country, but a revolution for the working class, a revolution that will eventually breed social and economic independence and introduce a representative democracy. Former Captain Yahya Jammeh

During a short stop at the Kastrups airport in Copenhagen, Denmark, I met a demographically young Gambian who came from an agrarian family, looking desperately for an answer to a question he posed me: "... I am not a politician, but when shall we be free", he asked, as if I am one. Well!! I am not a politician too, but the answer to your question is: 'whenever your father, back in your village is able to walk to the URR governor's office with a placard that reads 'where does my tax money go', I logically replied. He bid me farewell and disappeared in the crowd.

The thought that I am a utopian communist must had been pulling strings in his heart. However, his demand for a quick-fix answer to our national problems clearly exhibits how desperate Gambians are for a new revolution that will replace bellicose nationalist Jammeh and usher in a new government that will enable the popular masses to exercise their political rights as masters of state and society, and free them from all kinds of social bondages. This is not utopianism, but a reality that can be achieved.
Yahya was a closed friend to the late Libyan leader, Muammar Gaddafi, until few months before he was ousted then Jammeh denounced him

The question always arise: 'How do we do this'? The answers can be very broad and therefore eludes my little political knowledge. However, I won't hesitate to state that educating the masses, building strong organizations and harnessing our efforts are key components to start with. It's important to note that the revolutionary overthrow of a government or the democratically changing of a tyrant government is but a baptism of fire.

whilst we are creating a strong network, it is very prudent to avoid the crab mentality: if you put many crabs in a bucket and one of them happens to find the way out and embarks on crawling its way out of the bucket, the ones remaining inside will try to pull the crawling crab back. This action sets back the progress of our common struggle as a people.
Jammeh is one of Africa's longest-serving head-of-states

However, I do have an involuntary commiseration for those who think the July 22nd revolution is worth celebrating. This day should instead serve as a food for thought, not only for the people whose freedom were stolen, but the people who stole the freedom.

I suggest president Jammeh looks for a very quiet place and sits there for few hours alone and reflects on whether it's worth it for a president to be in the helm of the government for 20 years and not creates a room for himself to remain in his own country after he is no more in power.

Mr. President, make your bed soft because you will lie down on it one day. In the meantime, happy 'July 22nd' to you!!

SSU FORTSÄTTER UTMANA UNGDOMAR ATT VARA AGENTER FÖR FÖRÄNDRING


Under de första dagarna på påsklovet samlade Socialdemokraternas ungdomsförbundet (Ssu) ihop ett trettiotal ungdomar på Bräkne-Hobys folkhögskola för en utbildning som bland annat gällde politik, samhälle och kommunikationsfrågor. Utbildningen, som kallas Ssu3, hölls mellan söndagen till tisdagen och var den tredje bland många utbildningar som Ssu har åtagit sig att utföra.

Alla deltagare var otroligt hängivna ungdomar som har iver och engagemang att göra skillnad i våra samhällen


Utbildningen kunde inte har varit på en bättre tid, med tanke på att landet förbereder sig för både EU-valet samt riksdagsvalet, landstingsvalet och kommunalvalet.

Alla deltagare var otroligt hängivna ungdomar som har iver och engagemang att göra skillnad i våra samhällen och till och med bidra med sina kvoter till de socioekonomiska och politiska frågorna i Sverige.

Den viktigaste frågan var att begripa politik och ha alla man på däck som unga människor för att åstadkomma positiva förändringar i våra samhällen. Men att förstå de socialdemokraternas värdena var också ett hett ämne i diskussionerna under dessa tre dagar. Deltagarna kom från Karlskrona kommun, Ronneby kommun, Karlshamns kommun och Sölvesborgs kommun.

//Ssu Blekinge

JAMMEH AND THE DIASPORA: NEW POLITICAL BINARISM

"When sticks and stones and beasts form the sole environment of a people, their attitude is largely one of determined opposition to and conquest of natural forces. But when to earth and brute is added an environment of men and ideas, then the attitude of the imprisoned group may take three main forms,—a feeling of revolt and revenge; an attempt to adjust all thought and action to the will of the greater group; or, finally, a determined effort at self-realization and self-development despite environing opinion," writes W.E. B Du Bois in The Souls of the Black Folk (1903).

Amat JENG

One hundred years after William Edward Burghardt's classical work was published, there is still a part of the world where people live in paranoid, because a generalissimo, who is both an unforgettable lesson in totalitarianism and a compelling portrait of jingoism, is handed a destiny of 1.8 million people.
In the Communist Manifesto, Karl Marx writes that a spectre is haunting Europe - the spectre of communism. If comrade Marx was alive to witness the events that are currently shaping 21st century totalitarianism, he would write that a 'spectre is haunting totalitarian governments' around the world - 'the spectre of Diaspora unity'.
The recent conflux of events that has added impetus to our gleeing national history is akin to what Du Bois referred to as "a feeling of revolt and revenge… an attempt to adjust all thought... and a determined effort at self-realisation".

The New York protests that witnessed the humiliation of president Jammeh and his cronies, demonstrated how important and powerful a force Gambian Diaspora has become. This force is not borne out of identity crises (as many Gambians abroad do not vouch for any political party), rather out of the actions of a single man, who has mustered so much power that he thinks subjugation of national politics is a way of suppressing civil resistance or maintaining civil obedience - though the latter has reached the pinnacle of its decadence.

However, these events can also be viewed as premonitions; thus, laying the foundation for an assertion to the fact that no government can ignore the importance of its diasporas in running the day-to-day affairs of a country - this is quite an argumentum ad populum.
The September 25 historical protests that pundits speculate leads to Banjul's withdrawal from the Common Wealth, is a litmus taste to the State House that its three third of graduates - including all Gambians abroad for any reason - now living or studying abroad, is the new political binary and redemptive force of freedom, whose demands and calls cannot be ignored. This was not only a lesson for the current government, but any future government, that those in the helm of affairs must consider this force as a revolutionary vanguard, armed with resources (the ability to mobilise and lobby) that can bring down a government to its knee.

Yahya Jammeh, Gambia's president, since 1994.

In the meantime, any attempt to humiliate the APRC-led regime will come as a huge relief, especially to those who have been targets of its sinister activities: political activists, journalists and anyone not fitting into the perverted dogmatism 'I will defend this country' Jammeh paradoxically represents.
Consequently, when 'brute' is added to the current status quo that Gambians are enduring, the result becomes obvious: a desperate citizenry, tired of being 'imprisoned' in a catch-22, and ready to take actions 'despite environing opinion'. This, however, will constitute an escalating probability of disaster, because the opposing power will respond with brutality.

Gambians are the definition of non-violence, but, despite the moral dilemma (many of us are torn between the need for a revolution and the sanctity of human life - which is certainly a moral dilemma); you can smell the excitement of a revolution in the air that blows in mainland Africa's smallest country. People's quests for a free society and emancipation from intellectual slavery are reaching all time high and this shows no signs of nose-diving.
For almost two decades, a good number (I spare the cronies) of Gambians are still enduring seemingly insurmountable challenges, ranging from freedom to liberty. The country is in turmoil and families are unable to keep their heads above water, because the cost of daily life is skyrocketing. If this continues, it will create a cataclysmic state of affairs, which will eventually plunge the country into some sort of domestic tense.

President Jammeh can burry his head in the rubbles whenever he hears about citizens being desperate, but my advice is: Don't ignore the demands made by your citizens in the Diaspora; especially those keyboard warriors that spur on Facebook every evening.
A lesson: the recent branding of the UDP as a 'Mandinka' political party brings more and stronger unity among Gambians abroad and thankfully makes many APRC Mandinka supporters to defect unofficially or otherwise. This unity plays host to the fact that Gambian Diaspora believe in justice, and more importantly are blind to race and unfettered by prejudice.

What distinguishes president Jammeh from comrade Mugabe and Idi Amin is not his demagoguery, but the fact that he projects himself as 'the-god-chosen-one' and for many, except a dedicated ideologue, he portraits the symbol of a pizza - pizza represents the oppression on the proletariats, with a few pepperoni (Jammeh and his cronies) on top, controlling most of the cheese, while the dough (the working class) supports the entire infrastructure and receives nothing in return - a pure intellectual exploitation borne out of authoritarianism.

Despite the West and human rights advocates regarding Jammeh as an authoritarian ruler and blaming him for the country's descent into isolations and poverty, a handful of Gambians still regard him as a champion of the hapless people.

However, I want to point out to those ardent supporters that the onus is now on them to know that their destiny is in their hands; that already every political analyst can see the chain reaction, the political prognoses that signal the end of Jammehism (Note: the end of Jammehism doesn’t necessarily mean the end of Jammeh’s rule, rather it can mean the end of his use of power. Jammehism is a term I first used in 2012 to refer to Jammeh’s use of power and suppression to advance his political agenda).

Long live Diaspora unity!

By Amat JENG

WORLDREMIT SUSPENDS MONEY TRANSFER TO GAMBIA

Karlskrona (Sweden) - WorldRemit, the world's largest, dedicated and leading online money transfer service for Europe, has suspended online money transfer to The Gambia, following recent instabilities in the country’s financial market.

When this reporter contacted worldRemit customer support in London, an agent called Marilyn responded: “I am afraid that due to local issues we are unable to send to Gambia for the moment.”

WorldRemit is the awardee of the ‘Best European Money Transfer Company’, enabling migrants and experts to easily and cost-effectively send remittances to family and friends using a variety of payment options including debit cards, credit cards and local payment methods.

Dr Ismail Ahmed is the CEO and founder of WorldRemit

The immediate suspension of the small West African country from the list of countries eligible to benefit from WorldRemit has raised some eye brows among many Diaspora Gambians, with many questioning Jammeh’s economic theory – Jammehnomics – and the future of their country.

Whilst the budge continue to hinder the economy of the small impoverished nation of 1.8 million that depends more on remittance inflows than export, many migrants and expats are wondering where the country is heading to under the current status quo.

The masses continue to wallow in poverty; prices of basic goods are taking upward swing; the gap between the rich and the poor shows no sign of decreasing; and the country’s political realm seems to be at chaos.

Whilst the country’s currency continues to nosedive against international currencies, the government moves abruptly to close three major money transfer services, blaming ‘speculation’ by operators in the foreign exchange market for exerting pressure on the exchange rate.

Made up of a populace that depends heavily on remittance – money send from abroad –, the current economic conundrum is ultimately affecting thousands of lives in a country where three third of the population are unable to keep their heads above water.

“Normally, when you check in the list of countries, you have ‘Gambia’ immediately after ‘Gabon’. But today when I checked I didn’t see my country. Immediately my mind goes to what is happening back home,” says Modou Njie, a Gambian immigrant living in Karlsham, Northern Sweden.

Mr Njie said even at 12pm he could open his laptop and make a transfer to The Gambia without visiting an agent. “This has actually made the idea of sending money via WorldRemit very comfortable, fast and cheap.”

Njie, like many other immigrants who came to Europe to earn their breads, have been saddened by the move taken by President Jammeh to heal the country’s ailing economy.

With businesses fleeing the country and the new tax – Value Added Tax (VAD) – raising the specter of broader economic hardship, Gambians are becoming more dependence on remittance to keep the wolf away from the door.

GAMBIANIMAL FARM: THE ODYSSEY OF POWER STRUGGLE

Karlskrona (Sweden) - I do not want to appear indecorous at a period when some Diaspora activists and home-grown politicians are raising the specter for regime change in The Gambia; but as a citizen of the world, based on my preferred political ideology – communism or perhaps more fittingly democratic socialism -, I am very particular with the symbiotic relationship between a government and the masses.

Right now the country seems thrown apart: its social, economic and political views run the gamut, from titillating partisans of Jolacracy (APRC) to sympathizers with human right activists and Diaspora Gambians.

Gambia's dictator, Yahya Jammeh

Unlike some Diaspora Gambians, I do not vouch for any political party; not that I am a knee-jerk anti-politics, but I wish not to play chess in the dark. The manner and period under which the current government comes and stays in power have taught Gambians bittersweet lessons.

In his dystopian novel - Animal Farm -, George Orwell shows us how important it is to have passion when attempting to make things right and to revolutionize the world, and went further to caution us about how passion can lead to destruction especially when we assume a leadership role.

This is a cautionary tale, which draws my ire to believe that the journey to democracy and good governance in The Gambia is neither by revolution nor insurrection – though a contrary opinion held by some Gambians.

The book - Animal Farm - x-rays how the pigs (figuratively the people who assume leadership after a rebellion) betray the principles of the revolution over and over again. Yet no betrayal is quite as poignant as what happens after Boxer’s lung collapses. Squealer tells everyone that Boxer is going to be taken to a veterinary hospital in Willingdon for surgery.

When the animals go to see Boxer off, Benjamin the donkey appears and starts crying that they are all idiots. He reads the side of the van to them: "Horse Slaughterer and Glue Boiler" (9.19). All of the animals shout to Boxer that he must kick his way out, and he tries, but old and weak as he is, he cannot.
Though the betrayal of Boxer might be a bit akin to the episode of the alleged prison van that was transporting Daba Marenah and inmates to the Janjanbureh’s prison, but it might be as well seen as a brief allegory within an allegory for Jammehism as a whole.
As the van rapidly moves down the road with Boxer trapped inside, one can’t help but think of so many victims of the Jammeh’s regime that were made to disappear or were sent to Mile II.
Anyone with a seminal understanding of George Orwell's political ideals and written pieces could find similarities between his books, especially ‘Animal Farm’ and the governing practises of modern nations that have undergone insurrection or military revolution, which The Gambia is no exception.

The military involvement in African politics is catastrophe

The July 22nd revolution has long been betrayed and the fence is devouring the crops it is meant to protect. By means of metaphor, I mean Jammeh’s government is supposedly the fence and Gambians in general are the crops.

The journey that betrayed the masses in a country with demographically young people and put the July 22nd revolution in the lexicon of political quagmire started when Jammeh resorted to getting rid off the Alpha boys who helped in the successful execution of the 1994 coup.

This automatically grants him the opportunity to rule the country like a medieval fiefdom. 'Treason’ and ‘sedition’, with which Jammeh uses to eliminate his antagonists and solidified his political base, find expressions in Animal Farm.

Consequently, this de facto has resulted to ruffling feathers in international gatherings as seen in the Raleigh (North Caroline, USA) May 19 conference. To many, Jammeh’s prompt use of ‘sedition’ and ‘treason’ is a vendetta that can be viewed but as a salad of lame excuses concocted by his regime to bring down his arch-nemeses. It seems Orwell shows it all coming.

However, this political counterbalance offers commentary on the development of class tyranny and the human tendency to maintain and re-establish class structures even in societies that allegedly stand for total equality.

All this didn’t go without illustrating how people that are initially unified in the face of a common enemy might become internally divided when that enemy is eliminated and power is bestowed on one character. I hope a Rambo departure of Jammeh and his government will not result in a situation like this!

The political corridor, which some pseudo-politicians and Diaspora activists wish to see transpire in a country of 1.8 million, is in itself tantamount to democratic suicide.

For quite a while now, my mind has been preoccupied by the dreadful vision of George Orwell’s Animal Farm, especially whenever I read articles and listen to people’s view about the odyssey of power struggle in our land. Some people wish to see president Jammeh relinquishes power, others are advocating for either a revolution or a rebellion and only a few are offering the panacea to the plights of the average Gambian.

As an independent thinker, the more I dig deep into Animal Farm, the more I view these calls as delusional and unfitting in a country where a revolution is still under betrayal and the masses continue to wallow in abject poverty, ignorance and intellectual exploitation.

One of the soldiers that helped carried out the July 22nd Revolution, Edward Singhated. Imprisoned by Jammeh, once

Until recently, only few victims of the 22nd July revolution suggested some elixir of the current status quo. One such people who pointed out the hubris and speak truths that are not known, is Burama Jammeh; in a magnum opus titled: “The neutral brokers’ – Diaspora Gambians.” I do not know him, neither have I ever met him, but I salute his political and emotional maturity.

“Many of us are with the notion that Yahya is singlehandedly the sole problem. No he is not. Certainly he is one bad guy (Darth Vader) in our history but so too anyone of us will be with the current environment. Our problem created Yahya and if we did not stand our grounds quickly we can expect many more Yahyas in the very near future,” he indisputably explained.

To think about some people who offer the metaphor to remove Jammeh from power as future presidents of our beloved country, is to reach for my pillow during my insomnia moment beside my Swedish princess and under it only to find a copy of George Orwell's Animal Farm.

In his piece, Burama Jammeh literally (perhaps unintentional to Animal Farm) interpreted the message Animal Farm tries to communicate to the world: “However, even if we remove and replace Yahya that is not the same as democracy in [The] Gambia, at best it will be the better of two devils.”

As a result, I believe the devil you know is better than the angel you don’t know.

To accurately reflect the varying grotesques of chaotic revolutions around the world, I have since come to understand that only a velvet revolution such as the one carried out in Czechoslovakia two year after I was born, can likely help restore democracy and the rule of law in a country where one man does and says what he wants as if the land was bequeathed to him by his forefathers.

As Gambians, our minds should be perfectly attuned to a common passion and live by the strictures we set for others; otherwise Gambanimal Farm will be in the making.

God bless the struggle!

JAPAN PRIME MINISTER PLEDGES US$3.2 BILLION AID FOR AFRICA

The prime minister of Japan has said that his country will provide a new aid package worth about 3.2 trillion yen [approximately US$3.2 billion] for Africa, including official development assistance, over the next five years.

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe made the pledge Saturday during the opening session of the three-day TICAD 5 Tokyo International Conference on African Development in Yokohama, Japan. He said the 3.2 trillion yen including ODA of around 1.4 trillion yen would be used to support Africa.

“What Africa needs now is private sector investment. “PPP, or 'public-private partnership' leverages that investment. If we recognise this as a new reality, then it will be necessary to revolutionise the way of providing assistance to Africa. How shall we revolutionise it? I will offer an answer to that, but first, I shall start with the total amount. First, with regard to infrastructure development, Japan will provide 650 billion yen approximately US$6.5 billion, to support Africa in the next five years.” Prime Minister Shinzo Abe

Regarding human resource development, Abe said it is necessary to cultivate human resources that truly match labour market demand. “And to this end I would like to advocate for education with an exit and we will aim to foster the human resources needed by companies in the local areas, particularly Japanese companies,” he remarked.

He remarked: “Let us move one step further. Africa’s promising young people will soon play the leading roles in businesses that connect Japan and Africa. In light of this, at this juncture today I would like to announce The ABE Initiative: The Africa Business Education Initiative for the youth.”

Under this initiative, he went on, “we will offer undergraduate and graduate education to young people from Africa who come to study in Japan, and in addition we will simultaneously provide opportunities to work as interns at Japanese companies. This will be at a scale of 1,000 students over five years. And together with the ABE Initiative, we will set about cultivating “business and industry savvy human capacities” that will lead to employment for 30 000 individuals, making use of the human resources development already being implemented by JICA and by HIDA in the next five years”.

Prime Minister Abe disclosed that Japan will also construct hubs for human resource development at 10 locations in the field in Africa, including in Ethiopia and Senegal.
An educated youth cohort is the only way for Africa, many experts argue.

“We will send experts in vocational training to Africa,” he promised, noting that a superb precedence is existing at the Toyota Kenya Academy.

He also informed the gathering that the Toyota Motor Corporation has built a school in Kenya with an expansive campus. “At these facilities, through a cooperative arrangement with JICA, the school trains technicians not only in automobile mechanics but also construction machinery and farm machinery. This is a school for developing professional human resources operating truly at Japanese standards. We will also invite administrative officials from Africa to Japan in order to create essential systems for advancing public-private partnerships. In this way we will enjoy an interactive relationship between Japan and Africa at all times,” the Japanese PM assured African leaders.

PEACE AND STABILITY

Prime Minister Abe said his country will in the future focus even more intently on peace building in Africa, hinting that the Japan Self-Defence Forces are already making strenuous efforts at this very moment in Djibouti to assist them in anti-piracy efforts and in South Sudan to assist with nation building.

“We will also cultivate the soil to bring forth peace by strengthening our assistance for the consolidation of peace and our development and humanitarian assistance. Needless to say, in the future as well, Japan will not let up on its efforts to foster “human security,” which Japan has taken the lead in promoting,” he further assured.

The Japanese PM stated that his country aims to create a “true partnership” with Africa over the entire course of their relations.

“Whether businessmen and women, or young volunteers with the JOCV, Japanese in Africa have been pleased to go into the field where poverty or other challenges are present, just as if they are going in to apply machine oil on a factory shop floor in Japan,” he said while thanking the 734 volunteers with the JOCV currently active in Africa, including 399 female volunteers, as well as the NGOs active there.

“It is these people who are the jewels in the crown of Japan’s diplomacy,” he added.

IMF SAYS GAMBIA'S VAT IS KILLING THE ECONOMY, BUSINESSES

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says Gambia’s newly introduced Tax collection system — the Value Added Tax (VAT)- is killing the country’s ailing economy and businesses. “The outlook for the economy is generally favorable for 2013, but there are risks. Real GDP growth is expected to accelerate, if the recovery in crop production is sustained.

Also, by accessing new markets, the potential for growth in tourism looks good. Inflation, however, has picked up, partly due to side effects from the introduction of the value-added tax (VAT) at the beginning of the year. For example, although the VAT is applied to firms with a turnover of at least one million dalasis, we understand that many smaller businesses also raised their prices opportunistically. During the first quarter of 2013, government spending once again exceeded planned allocations, contributing to an uptick in Treasury-bill yields. Correspondingly high bank lending rates are discouraging private sector borrowing,” a report issued by an IMF delegation who just concluded discussions with the Gambian authorities on the first review of the ECF arrangement.



The IMF delegation led by David Dunn is also not impressed by Gambia’s recent economic performance. Inflation is on the rise while government spending is jumping the roof.

“The Gambian economy is still recovering from the severe drought of 2011. Real gross domestic product (GDP) grew by an estimated 4 percent in 2012, led by a partial rebound in crop production and strength in the tourism sector. Inflation remained under control, ending the year at just under 5 percent, despite the depreciation of the Gambian dalasi during the second half of the year. A substantial overrun in government spending late in the year resulted in higher-than-budgeted domestic borrowing (3½ percent of GDP),” Mr. Dunn said.

Mr. Amadou Colley, Governor of Gambia’s Central Bank earlier this week tried to mislead the press and the nation by depicting a wrong picture of the economy. Colley failed to share the IMF team’s fact finding mission’s report. He instead furnished the press with a different picture of the realities on the ground. His sources are questionable—given the fact that this administration’s reputation of trying to monopolize the truth is evident on their modus operandi.

CBG's governor Amadou Kolley

“The Gambia Bureau of Statistics (GBoS), the Gambia economy is estimated to have grown by 6.3 percent in 2012 following a contraction of 4.6 percent in 2011; agriculture valued-added increased by 7.5 percent, industry (6.6 percent) and services (5.8 percent). Money supply grew by 8.8 percent in the year to end-March 2013, lower than the 14.9 percent in 2012. Both narrow money and quasi money grew by 16.3 percent and 2.7 percent compared to 7.8 percent and 9.3 percent respectively a year earlier,” Mr. Colley claimed.

“While reserve money grew by 3.4 percent, lower than the 8.7 percent in March 2012 and the target of 4.8 percent, he said the provisional data on government fiscal operations in the first quarter of 2013 indicate that revenue and grants amounted to D1.5 billion (4.6 percent of GDP) compared to D1.9 billion (5.9 percent of GDP) in the same period in 2012. "Domestic revenue totaled D1.4 billion (4.2 percent of GDP), higher than the D1.2 billion (3.7 percent of GDP) recorded in the corresponding period of 2012."

Mr. Colley admitted that Gambia’s inflation is going out of hand. As such, Colley said, prices for basic commodities, utilities, and energy are going up.

“While consumer food inflation rose from 4.8 percent in March 2012 to 6.4 percent in March 2013 driven mainly by price developments in bread cereals, the consumer non-food inflation also rose to 4.1 percent in March 2013 from 2.7 percent in March 2012 partly reflecting the increase in the cost of energy. Core inflation, which includes the prices to utilities, energy and volatile food items, increased to 5.3 percent from 4.0 percent a year earlier,” Mr. Colley told the local press here.

But IMF’S David Dunn is not optimistic about the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The country’s past crop failure is impacting negatively on the economy. He said VAT is killing the private sector. Businesses are being overtaxed.

IMF’S David Dunn

“The outlook for the economy is generally favorable for 2013, but there are risks. Real GDP growth is expected to accelerate, if the recovery in crop production is sustained. Also, by accessing new markets, the potential for growth in tourism looks good. Inflation, however, has picked up, partly due to side effects from the introduction of the value-added tax (VAT) at the beginning of the year. For example, although the VAT is applied to firms with a turnover of at least one million dalasis, we understand that many smaller businesses also raised their prices opportunistically. During the first quarter of 2013, government spending once again exceeded planned allocations, contributing to an uptick in Treasury-bill yields,” Mr. Dunn stated.

While Central Bank Governor Amadou Colley is bragging about the so called performance of the banking sector, Mr. Dunn had a complete different view about Gambia’s banking industry.

“Correspondingly high bank lending rates are discouraging private sector borrowing,” Dunn said.

RUSSIA SEEKS GAMBIA'S SUPPORT TO HOST WORLD EXPO 2020

A special envoy dispatched to Banjul by the Russian Federation has disclosed that he came to seek The Gambia’s support in his country’s bid to host the World EXPO 2020 in the city of Ekaterinburg, report the Daily Observer - government's controlled newspaper.

DV. Shubman, director of the staff of the Deputy Prime Minister, of the Russian Federation, said the event would open up a unique opportunity for the world to rediscover this city, designated in 1723 by Peter the Great, as the industrial centre of Russia. “We are here to promote the Russian bid to host the World Expo 2020. We made a presentation of our project to the Gambia government and we are very hopeful of a positive response from The Gambia,” DV. Shubman told journalists at State House in an interview Thursday, shortly after having a brief meeting with The Gambia’s Presidential Affairs minister, Dr Njogu Bah.

The Russian city to host the 2020 World Expo

“We have a team of our exposition which is a global mind and we are planning to receive up to 150 delegates from all over the world. They will be able to promote their countries in Russia in 2020, especially if Russia wins the bidding competition, of which five countries are battling for a win as to which country will host the event in 2020. Brazil, Russia, Thailand, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates have all officially bid to host the World Expo 2020. A decision will be made at the BIE General Assembly this year to determine the winner of the bids,” he explained.

Asked about the reaction of The Gambia government, Shubman said they are hopeful of a positive response. “We have not had any response yet from the Gambia government but we are hopeful of a positive one. We just came to make a presentation to the Gambian authorities about the bid which voting will take place in November this year in Paris. There is no response yet from the government but our presentation was received at the high level and we are hopeful that we will receive a positive one from The Gambia,” the Russian diplomat told reporters.

Dr Njogu Bah

According to him, his Banjul visit also accorded him and delegation to talk about Gambia-Russia relations. “We hope that we will be able to cooperate with The Gambia to support this project of Expo 2020 bid,” he added.

The Expo 2020 would be the larger of the two kinds of world fairs, analogous to the Summer Olympics. It is considered "sanctioned" by the BIE, held every five years. Germany hosted Expo 2000; Japan hosted Expo 2005 China hosted Expo 2010; and Italy is preparing to host Expo 2015.
DV. Shubman was accompanied to the Presidency by the Russian ambassador to Senegal and accredited to The Gambia, His Excellency Valery Nesterushkin Shubman.

CHINA, AFRICA EXPLORE NEW OPPORTUNITIES TO COOPERATE ON HEALTH CHALLENGES, STRENGTHEN INNOVATIONS

Chinese and African leaders will come together at the 4th International Roundtable on China-Africa Health Cooperation to explore new partnerships to address some of the most pressing health challenges facing Africa and strengthen an innovative health partnership based on south-south cooperation. This year’s roundtable is the first to take place on the African continent. It will focus on promoting sustainable health solutions that meet the needs and priorities of African countries and draw on China’s unique expertise.



Officials will engage in two days of sessions aimed at determining how China and African countries can jointly tackle critical issues such as AIDS, malaria, schistosomiasis, reproductive health, access to lifesaving vaccines and non-communicable diseases. These health issues disproportionately affect African countries and have also been major health challenges for China. At the roundtable, China’s Director General of the National Health and Family Planning Commission will join Health Ministers from Botswana and Ghana; leaders from the African Union; representatives from the United Nations and non-governmental organizations; and entrepreneurs and business owners from China and Africa.

“Indeed, China and Africa have a long history of collaborating on health, built on shared challenges, experiences and addressing similar issues,” said Hon. Rev. Dr. John G. N. Seakgosing, Botswana’s Minister of Health. “China has a unique role in supporting African health progress. And with this roundtable, we look forward to deepening our partnership to benefit the health of our citizens.”

This roundtable comes as China and Africa mark the 50th anniversary of providing medical teams to Africa, with China also supporting African health personnel, infrastructure, malaria control and other programs such as scholarships for training health experts. At this year’s roundtable, officials will discuss how to shape health cooperation between China and Africa and help achieve long-term, sustainable gains, such as strengthening health systems and addressing the shortage of healthcare workers.

“Africa’s future is closely linked with our own and improving health is a critical building block towards a common prosperity,” said Dr. Ren Minghui, Director General of the Department of International Cooperation at China’s National Health and Family Planning Commission. “African countries have made tremendous gains to improve the health of their citizens. With China and Africa working hand-in-hand on health, we can have even greater impact.”

A major theme of the roundtable is how African and Chinese officials can create win-win scenarios that will benefit all partners. Much of China’s health assistance invests in expanding African capacity, which can help strengthen the continent’s self-sufficiency and economic development. China has a unique role in supporting Africa’s health progress, drawing from its investments in health research and development and its experience improving the health of its own citizens, such as its current health reform effort, which is the largest expansion of healthcare coverage in history.
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Roundtable participants will discuss how African countries can best work with Chinese scientists and pharmaceutical manufacturers to increase access to high-quality, low-cost health technologies, while ensuring products are safe and meet international quality standards. Participants will also explore how China can help support Africa’s local production of health products. At the same time, African leaders will share expertise on areas where China can learn from Africa, such as around AIDS prevention and treatment, to help improve China’s efforts at home. Africa has been very successful in scaling up HIV treatment as well as prevention of mother-to-child transmission programs.

“South-South cooperation facilitates optimization of resources, both human and material. This creates opportunities to share knowledge and experience, which contributes to sustainable health solutions,” said H.E. Dr. Mustapha Sidiki Kaloko, Commissioner of Social Affairs of the African Union. “China-Africa health partnership is based on a sense of shared responsibility and global solidarity in responding to health challenges.”

The roundtable comes as China and other emerging economies are bringing new resources and approaches to improve the health of people around the world. “The global health landscape is changing, with more partners than ever joining these efforts,” said Dr. Luiz Loures, Deputy Executive Director of Programme of UNAIDS. “The AIDS response and other experiences paved the way for transformative progress on health and can help China and Africa engage on a whole new level and innovate on a broad range of health issues.”

The roundtable sessions will be guided by discussion papers that draw on extensive research and discussion developed by the China-Africa Health Cooperation Taskforce, comprised of members of the Chinese government and leading technical institutions, with the support of international partners including the World Health Organization, United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), UNAIDS, PATH, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Global Health Strategies Initiatives (GHSi) and other organizations.

Facts you don't want to miss

The papers propose pilot projects for China-Africa collaboration in areas such as strengthening laboratory systems; establishing national control systems for malaria and schistosomiasis; transferring ARV drug manufacturing technology and technical support for local production; training African health personnel; and sharing China’s expertise in cold chain management and surveillance systems to boost immunization coverage. Sessions will also address ways to ensure transparency in these efforts and to guarantee high quality products.

“China has tremendous potential to support Africa’s long-term development by leveraging innovation. The roundtable is an opportunity to define a path for China and Africa to make a positive impact together on health,” said Dr. Ray Yip, Director of the China Program of the Gates Foundation.
One aim of the roundtable is to develop joint recommendations that could lay the groundwork for a long-term strategic plan for China-Africa health cooperation, which could be considered at the Ministerial Forum of China-Africa Health Development, part of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC), which will take place in August in Beijing.

This year’s roundtable is hosted by the Botswana Ministry of Health, the China Chamber of Commerce of the Ministry of Commerce and the Institute for Global Health of Peking University. The roundtable series, organized by the Institute for Global Health and the China Institute of International Studies, began in 2009 as part of a China-led initiative to evaluate and improve its foreign assistance.

AFRICA ATTRACTIVENESS: CONTINENT'S SHARE OF GLOBAL FDI INCREASES

Africa’s share of global foreign direct investment (FDI) has grown over the past five years highlighting the growing interest from foreign investors, according to Ernst & Young’s third Africa Attractiveness Survey , released yesterday.

The report combines an analysis of international investment into Africa over the past five years with a 2013 survey of over 500 global business leaders about their views on the potential of the African market. The latest data shows that despite a fall in project numbers from 867 in 2011 to 764 in 2012 — in line with the global trend — project numbers are still significantly higher than anything that preceded the peak of 2008. The continent’s global share of FDI has also grown from 3.2% in 2007 to 5.6% in 2012.
Mark Otty, Ernst & Young’s EMEIA Managing Partner comments, “A process of democratization that has taken root across much of the continent; ongoing improvements to the business environment; exponential growth in trade and investment and substantial improvements in the quality of human life have provided a platform for the economic growth that a large number of African economies have experienced over the past decade.”



Despite the impact of the ongoing global economic situation, the size of the African economy has more than tripled since 2000. The outlook also appears positive, with the region as a whole expected to grow by 4% for 2013 and 4.6% for 2014. A number of African economies are predicted to remain among the fastest growing in the world for the foreseeable future.

Eighty-six percent of those with an established presence on the continent believe that Africa’s attractiveness as a place to do business will continue to improve. Those surveyed rank Africa as the second most attractive regional investment destination in the world after Asia.

Increasing investment from emerging markets

Investment in FDI projects from developed markets fell by 20%. Although FDI projects from the UK grew (by 9% year-on-year), those from the US and France — the other two leading developed market investors in Africa — were considerably down. In contrast investments from emerging markets into Africa grew again in 2012, continuing the trend over the past three years.
In the period since 2007, the rate of FDI projects from emerging markets into Africa has grown at a healthy compound rate of over 21%. In comparison investment from developed markets has grown at only 8%. The top contributors from the emerging markets are India (237), South Africa (235), the UAE (210), China (152), Kenya (113), Nigeria (78), Saudi Arabia (56) and South Korea (57) all among the top 20 investors over that period.

Intra-African investment has been particularly impressive during the same period, growing at 33% compound rate. South Africa has been at the forefront of growth in intra-African trade and broader emerging market investment – (the single largest investor in FDI projects in 2012 outside of South Africa.) Kenya and Nigeria have also invested heavily but it is expected that others such as Angola, for example, with a US$5b sovereign wealth fund, will become increasingly prominent investors across the continent over the next few years.

Ajen Sita, Ernst & Young’s Africa Managing Partner comments, “There is a growing confidence and optimism among Africans themselves about the continent’s progress and future.”
AJEN SITA.

There has also been an important shift in emphasis in investment into the continent over the past few years, in terms of both destination markets and sectors. While investment into North Africa has largely stagnated, FDI projects into Sub-Saharan Africa have grown at a compound rate of 22% since 2007. Among the star performers attracting growing numbers of projects have been Ghana, Nigeria, Kenya, Tanzania, Zambia Mozambique, Mauritius and South Africa.

Perception versus reality

Our 2013 Africa Attractiveness Survey shows some progress in terms of investor perceptions since the inaugural survey in 2011. The majority of respondents are positive about the progress made and the outlook for Africa. Africa has also gained ground relative to other global regions. In 2011 Africa was only ranked ahead of two other regions, while this year it ranked ahead of five other regions (the former Soviet States, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, the Middle East and Central America).

However, there still remains a stark perception gap between those respondents who are already doing business in Africa versus those that have not yet invested in the continent. Those with an established business in Africa are overwhelmingly positive. They understand the real rather than perceived operational risks, have experienced the progress made and see the opportunities for future growth. Eight-six percent of these business leaders believe that Africa’s attractiveness as a place to do business will continue to improve, and they rank Africa as the second most attractive regional investment destination in the world after Asia.

In contrast, those with no business presence in Africa are far more negative about Africa’s progress and prospects. Only 47% of these respondents believe Africa’s attractiveness will improve over the next three years, and they rank Africa as the least attractive investment destination in the world.
The two fundamental challenges that are present for those already present or those looking to invest in Africa are transport and logistics infrastructure and anti-bribery and corruption. However, moves are being made on both accounts to help allay fears of investors.

Infrastructure gaps, particularly relating to logistics and electricity, are consistently cited as the biggest challenges by those doing business in Africa. At a macro level, too, Africa’s growth will be inherently constrained until the infrastructure deficit is bridged. The flip side of this challenge, however, is that strong growth has been occurring despite such infrastructure constraints. This indicates the potential to not only sustain, but accelerate growth as the gap is narrowed. Our analysis indicates that in 2012 there were over 800 active infrastructure projects across different sectors in Africa, with a combined value in excess of US$700b. The large majority of infrastructure projects are related to power (37%) and transport (41%).

Moving away from extractive industries

Due to volatile nature of commodity prices, an over-dependency on a few key sectors clearly raises questions about the sustainability of growth. Despite perceptions to the contrary, less than one third of Africa’s growth has come from natural resources.

The trend of growing diversification continues, with an ever increasing emphasis on services, manufacturing and infrastructure-related activities. In 2007 extractive industries represented 8% of FDI projects and 26% of capital invested in Africa; in 2012, it was a mere 2% of projects and 12% of capital. In comparison, services accounted for 70% of projects in 2012 (up from 45% in 2007), and manufacturing activities accounted for 43% of capital invested in 2012 (up from 22% in 2007).

Mining and metals is still perceived by survey respondents as the sector with the highest growth potential in Africa, but the number of respondents who believe this (26%) is down from 38% in 2012 and 44% in 2011. In contrast, interest in African infrastructure projects is clearly increasing, with 21% of respondents identifying this as growth sector versus 14% last year and only 4% in 2011. Other sectors where there has been a noticeable shift include ICT (14%, up from 8% last year), financial services (13%, up from 6% last year), and education (which has come from virtually nowhere to register 10% this year).

Mark comments, “These changing perceptions of relative sector attractiveness in Africa reflect the changing fundamentals of many Africa economies: the diversification of both sources of growth (for example, the increasing contribution of services and the growing consumer class), and of the actual FDI flowing into these economies.”

South Africa most attractive for foreign investors but others hot on its heels

The large majority of respondents view South Africa as the most attractive African country in which to do business: 41% of all respondents put South Africa in first place, while 61% included it in their top three. The primary reasons for South Africa’s popularity appear to be it relatively well developed infrastructure, a stable political environment and a relatively large domestic market. The next most popular countries were Morocco (20% placing in the top three, and 8% in first place), Nigeria (also 20% in top three, and 6% in first place), Egypt (15% top three and 5% first), and Kenya (15% top three and 4% first). In general, these rankings align with emerging regional hubs for doing business across different parts of Africa.

Looking ahead

Ajen concludes, “With an increasingly solid foundation of economic, political and social reform, together with resilient growth rates, we are confident that the continent as a whole is on a sustainable upward trajectory. This direction of travel, rather than the current destination, is what is most important.

“A critical mass of African economies will continue on this journey. Despite the fact that there will undoubtedly be bumps in the road, there is a strong probability that a number of these economies will follow the same development paths that some of the Asian and other Rapid Growth Markets have over the past 30 years. By the 2040s, we have no doubt that the likes of Nigeria, Ghana, Angola, Egypt, Kenya, Ethiopia and South Africa will be considered among the growth powerhouses of the global economy.”